List Categories | List All Articles | List Articles By Title
Cutting Edge Real Estate, Is the Bubble Ready To Burst?
Of course, this is the big question in real estate now. . .
Will the so-called real estate bubble burst like the dot-com bubble did a few years back?
There are some good arguments on both sides of the issue. Whatever happens in the next few years, it will affect millions of Americans, and therefore also millions of people worldwide. If the bubble does "burst" as some say, it is all but certain we could, or more like would, go into a recession. A deep one. Right now the real estate business has been a prime reason that the economy has been decent the last few years. It has been one of the few consistently bright areas of our economy.
First of all, to compare the real estate industry with the dot-com industry is unreasonable. It's comparing apples with oranges. The real estate industry has been and will always be a central part of the US economy. It will never disappear and there will always be a need and demand for it. Investing in real estate makes sense for the long term. On the other hand, the dot-com bubble was not based on anything more than speculation. Many businesses were trading on the stock market for unreal amounts of money and never made a dime in profit and ultimately never would.
So for me, some of this thinking is this: "Well, the stock market had the dot-com boom and then it collapsed, so now we have this real estate boom so surely it will collapse also." I just don't go along with that comparison. Again, these are totally different industries and markets. Heck, if we can pay $20,000, $50,000 and even up to and over $100,000 on automobiles, then spending $300,000, $1,000,000 and more on homes seems very reasonable. Property will always be there as long as the mortgage is paid and the taxes are paid, too. That brings us to a good argument for believing the real estate market will slow down and possibly have a downturn.
The reason there is a good argument for the belief that the real estate industry will have a major downturn is because some people, perhaps a good amount of people, won't be able to keep up with their mortgage payments if they start losing their jobs and the economy slows down. The rise in gas prices could have a major effect on the economy and if these homeowners start defaulting on their mortgages then this could turn the industry around.
Many home owners and speculative real estate investors are using what some would call risky home mortgages, the interest-only and no-income verification loans. These allow more people to buy more homes and are part of the reason the real estate industry has enjoyed such a boom the last several years. Creative financing started decades ago and has kept increasing more and more different ways for the home buyer and speculator to get what they want. This is a good thing overall in my opinion. However I can see the dangers of this trend also. I don't feel a burst is inevitable but it is certainly very possible. Perhaps more likely, unless a major event such as another war or terrorist attack, is a slow down and evening off of the growth of the real estate industry.
There are those on the side of the inevitable downturn philosophy, who are preparing for the worst. Just as some people can make money on the stock market even when it goes down, there are those who are preparing for a possible - inevitable in their minds - downturn in the real estate market.
Here is one such way to capitalize on a real estate bubble burst or at least a downturn: pre- foreclosure deals. There are some investment clubs that are based solely on waiting for this to happen and then buying into this market. People will be foreclosing in record numbers if this downturn comes. Perhaps it is more accurate to say when, because as history shows there are always downturns in the market; and with all the creative financing, no interest loans and no income verification loans the probability of a downturn is likely. However, this is different than a "burst."
So here is what can happen:
1. The market will keep going the way it has the last few years, which is up, up and up. Quickly is some areas. Not likely.
2. The market will slow down and level off soon. Very possible.
3. The market will have a slight downturn and many will lose their homes and many will benefit from this. Very possible.
4. The market will "burst" the "bubble" and there will be a major catastrophe in the industry. Possible, but not as likely as 2 and 3.
Whatever happens, there will be some who are ready for it.
The Real Estate Bubble-When Will it Burst?
More and more individuals are realizing that real estate is much safer, and a better return on investment than many traditional investment vehicles. Unlike stocks or bonds, real estate investments can usually be liquidated in order for the investor to access funds in far less time.
Selling Your Home In The Winter
In many parts of the country, selling a home during the winter months can be a challenge. Dreary, cold weather and the end-of-the-year holidays can keep buyers away and heighten fears of your home staying on the market longer than expected.
Why Use a Property Manager?
Most experienced property investors use property managers. Why? Because they make you money.
Forclosure And The Durrett Rule
It's probably happened to you..
Juggling The Day With A Deal
Doing deals with sellers is why you went into lease purchasing. Again, using organization and time management is very important here.
Property Investment - What Future For the Biggest Bubble of All Time?
The Economist magazine published a special report in this months issue entitled "House Prices ? After The Fall". Some might call it pessimistic, alarmist, nonsense or worse but only the foolish would choose to ignore the research that comes out of a think-tank with the kind of resources that this highly respected publication has.
Home Not Selling In Todays Hot Market? Tips and Ideas to Help You Sell
So, your selling your home. Prepare yourself both physically and mentally for the agony of the endless phone calls and interruptions to your daily schedule.
Maui Realtors: What You Need To Know
Maui is a great place for families of any size. However, before you plan a move to Maui and contact those Maui Realtors, there are some considerations that you should take care of.
Boston Real Estate - You Still Have Considerable Control Over the Sale of Your Boston Home
Boston real estate is a hot topic. Daily newspaper articles comment on whether or not a bubble exists in the Boston real estate market, when and if it will pop, how interest rates affect the market, why Boston residents are snapping up interest-only loans, and how foreign investors in our treasuries keep interest rates low.
Various Aspects Of The Lease Purchase Business
In a previous article, we wrote why we believe that Lease Purchasing is the perfect home-based business, here we want to briefly touch on some of the actual aspects of operating such a business, the pluses and minuses and why Lease Purchasing represents a win-win situation for the seller, the tenant/buyer and just as importantly, you, as the business owner. One of your goals in operating a Lease Purchase business is to contract for property that you then move to the tenant/buyer.
Log Homes - What is the Log-Home Lifestyle?
Typical log home company advertisements in popular log home magazines talk about the "log home lifestyle" or "it's not just a home, it's a lifestyle." What does this mean? What is "the" log home lifestyle?It's often difficult to discuss the particulars of log home living without also talking about where the log home is located.
San Diego Real Estate, Million Dollar Homes
San Diego county has always been known for its Luxury Homes, yet in 2004 San Diego County luxury home sales (homes over $1,000,000) hit an incredible 2774 total units, an increase of almost 170% over total sales in 2003!In the entire State of California, A total of 33,107 homes sold for a million dollars or more last year. That was up 73.
Home Buying: Things To Keep In Mind
So you've decided you want to own a home and now you want to begin your search for one. Before jumping into a home search, there are a few things you should keep in mind when going about buying a home.
Fraud in Real Estate, Are You Being Victimized? - Part II
The phone range and Peter was on the other end of the line. "Willard, I have a friend of mine that has a real estate problem.
Real Estate Investing Produces Extraordinary Profits
Imagine making $5000 a year from real estate investing without recognizing you are real estate investing!Real estate values are so dynamic. The marketplace is always fluid and changing.
Are You Trying to Hit a Home Run With Your Prospects Without Asking Them on a Date?
Real Estate email marketingDo you remember the old School girl/boy game of "Around the World", or "Around the Bases"? If you got a kiss you got to First Base. A french Kiss was Second Base.
The Great Real Estate Bubble Quiz
You hear it asked on the radio, in the newspapers and on TV."Are we experiencing a value bubble in real estate and is itready to burst?"Do you have an answer for that question? Do you have a guess?Yes, I know the so called experts are lining up on both sides of the question.
How to Eliminate Risk in Real Estate Investment
Avoid 12 Common Mistakes Made by Novice Investors and Ensure High Rates of Return!Real estate investment has provided many investors with positive cash flow, tax benefits and satisfaction of making an impact in others lives. Like any investment however, real estate has intricate nuances and market trends that when ignored can cause an investor tremendous heart ache.
Real Estate: Choose a Realtor You Can Trust
Today's volatile real estate market involves complex laws and fluctuating financial conditions. Maybe you've outgrown your first home; maybe you're in the process of turning over your fourth.
How to Make Money from the California Real Estate Gold Rush
What do the Californians know that we don't?What is so special about California? Why is the average price of a house there five times higher than nationwide? Why on a salary of $100,000 per year, you can hardly afford to rent a decent apartment in the large cities there?It is true, Californians have a nice looking Pacific coastline. They also have a pleasant climate.
home | site map
All articles are copyright to their owners.
Note: this website lists articles, We do not Write Articles !